![]() ![]() The challenging economic environment including high inflation and the spike in oil prices, as well as the fears of a global recession, continues to be the main factor weighing on the recovery of tourism.The UNWTO Confidence Index shows a slight improvement (119) in January-April 2023 compared to prospects expressed for the previous period of September-December (111). Respondents expect better (38%) or much better (13%) performance, while almost half see equal performance (26%) or worse (20%).Expectations for the period January-April 2023 indicate cautious optimism, with still large pent-up demand though in a context of uncertainty and volatility.On a scale of 0 to 200, the UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts rated the period September-December 2022 with a score of 123, above the expectations expressed in the September survey ahead of that 4-month period (111). The survey conducted in January 2023 shows a slight uptick in the UNWTO Confidence Index for the period September-December 2022, reflecting improved confidence levels in the last months of the year.UNWTO panel of experts, highlights survey January 2023 Tourists are expected to increasingly seek value for money and travel close to home in response to the challenging economic environment.However, important risks remain ahead, especially economic and geopolitical. Based on UNWTO’s scenarios for 2023, i nternational tourist arrivals could reach 80% to 95% of pre-pandemic levels this year, with Europe and the Middle East expected to reach those levels.However, most experts (65%) also believe international tourism will not return to 2019 levels until 2024 or later. The UNWTO Panel of Experts survey indicates that 72% of respondents expect better performance in 2023.Looking ahead, international tourism is set to consolidate its recovery in 2023, backed by pent-up demand, particularly from Asia and the Pacific as destinations and markets open up.The year 2022 saw a strong rebound in tourism spending, resulting in the recovery of pre-pandemic levels in income across many destinations.By subregions, Western Europe (87%) and the Caribbean (84%) came closest to their pre-pandemic levels.Africa and the Americas both recovered about 65% of its pre-pandemic visitors, while Asia and the Pacific reached only 23%, due to stronger pandemic-related restrictions.The Middle East enjoyed the strongest relative increase across regions in 2022 with arrivals climbing to 83% of pre-pandemic numbers (-17% versus 2019). Europe, the world’s largest destination region, recorded 585 million arrivals in 2022 to reach nearly 80% of pre-pandemic levels (-21% over 2019).International tourism recovered 63% of pre-pandemic levels, in line with UNWTO’s scenarios published in May 2022.Over 900 million tourists travelled internationally in 2022, double those in 2021 though still 37% fewer than in 2019.International tourism saw stronger than expected results in 2022, backed by large pent-up demand and the lifting or relaxation of travel restrictions in a large number of countries.International tourism recovered 63% of pre-pandemic levels in 2022, with Europe and the Middle East in the lead ![]()
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